Sep 15 – 18, 2025
CEA Paris-Saclay
Europe/Paris timezone

Uncertainty in AI-driven Monte Carlo simulations

Sep 15, 2025, 3:45 PM
30m
Amphithéâtre Claude Bloch (IPhT) (CEA Paris-Saclay)

Amphithéâtre Claude Bloch (IPhT)

CEA Paris-Saclay

Bât. 774 - Institut de Physique Théorique (IPhT), F-91190 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Short-talk Simulations and Coding Simulations and Coding

Speaker

Dimitrios Tzivrailis (CEA Paris-Saclay)

Description

In the study of complex systems, evaluating physical observables often requires sampling representative configurations via Monte Carlo techniques. These methods rely on repeated evaluations of the system's energy and force fields, which can become computationally expensive. To accelerate these simulations, deep learning models are increasingly employed as surrogate functions to approximate the energy landscape or force fields. However, such models introduce epistemic uncertainty in their predictions, which may propagate through the sampling process and affect the system's macroscopic behavior. In our work, we present the Penalty Ensemble Method (PEM) to quantify epistemic uncertainty and mitigate its impact on Monte Carlo sampling. Our approach introduces an uncertainty-aware modification of the Metropolis acceptance rule, which increases the rejection probability in regions of high uncertainty, thereby enhancing the reliability of the simulation outcomes.

Author

Dimitrios Tzivrailis (CEA Paris-Saclay)

Co-authors

Alberto Rosso (CNRS, Université Paris-Saclay) Eiji Kawasaki (CEA Paris-Saclay)

Presentation materials