Sep 15 – 18, 2025
CEA Paris-Saclay
Europe/Paris timezone

Quantifying uncertainties in computer models: an overview

Sep 15, 2025, 2:15 PM
1h
Amphithéâtre Claude Bloch (IPhT) (CEA Paris-Saclay)

Amphithéâtre Claude Bloch (IPhT)

CEA Paris-Saclay

Bât. 774 - Institut de Physique Théorique (IPhT), F-91190 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Keynote Simulations and Coding Simulations and Coding

Speaker

Merlin Keller (EDF)

Description

Predictions from computer models are now extensively in industrial studies, to complement, or even sometimes replace, field experiments. Such numerical experiments have key advantages, such as reduced costs, and added flexibility. However, they raise the question of assessing the validity of computer model predictions, with respect to the physical phenomena they seek to reproduce. This is the goal of verification, validation and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ), a process whose development is an active field of research in applied mathematics. The goal of this talk is to present the different objectives and challenges of VVUQ, as well as a generic workflow that can be applied to virtually any uncertainty quantification problem. We then discuss software libraries that implement this methodology, as well as open problems and perspectives.

Author

Presentation materials