15–18 Sept 2025
CEA Paris-Saclay
Europe/Paris timezone

Determination and validation of modeling and theory uncertaintie

16 Sept 2025, 11:00
30m
Amphithéâtre Claude Bloch (IPhT) (CEA Paris-Saclay)

Amphithéâtre Claude Bloch (IPhT)

CEA Paris-Saclay

Bât. 774 - Institut de Physique Théorique (IPhT), F-91190 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Short-talk HEP - Theory HEP - Theory

Speaker

Stefano Forte (Università degli Studi e INFN Milano (IT))

Description

I discuss how uncertainties related to machine learning modeling of a regression problem, as well as those related to missing theoretical information, can be estimated and subsequently validated. Even though these uncertainties are intrinsically Bayesian, given that there is only one underlying true theory and true model, they can be determined both in a Bayesian and frequentist framework. I show how this can be done in the context of the determination of the parton distributions that encode the structure of the proton. I further show how results can be validated by means of closure tests.

Author

Stefano Forte (Università degli Studi e INFN Milano (IT))

Presentation materials