27–30 Apr 2026
Palais des papes, Avignon
Europe/Paris timezone

Gravitational Waves as a Probe of DESI-Motivated Modified Gravity: A Multi-Messenger Forecast

29 Apr 2026, 15:10
10m
Chambre du Trésorier (Palais des papes, Avignon)

Chambre du Trésorier

Palais des papes, Avignon

Speaker

Andrea Cozzumbo (Gran Sasso Science Institute)

Description

Recent DESI results, combined with other cosmological probes, have revived interest in dynamical dark energy, hinting at phantom crossing and a phantom regime at $z \gtrsim 1$. These observations have brought renewed attention to a class of modified gravity (MG) models consistent with current data but exhibiting rich phenomenology beyond $\Lambda$CDM. Several of these theories introduce a non-minimal coupling between a scalar field and gravity, which manifests in two distinct observational signatures: an alteration of the growth of large-scale structure, and a modification of the propagation of tensorial perturbations, inducing a friction term in the gravitational wave (GW) equation of motion, which in turn produces a systematic offset between GW and electromagnetic luminosity distances. This modified GW propagation offers a unique observable to discriminate among models otherwise degenerate at the background level.

We assess the capability of next-generation GW detectors to constrain these DESI-motivated MG models, comparing standard parametric approaches against a model-independent Gaussian Process (GP) reconstruction to evaluate how well each can distinguish viable MG theories from General Relativity.

To this end, we build a mock multi-messenger dataset of binary neutron star (BNS) mergers with $\gamma$-ray burst (GRB) counterparts detected by Fermi and Swift, and forecast the sensitivity of future GW networks to $d_L^{\rm GW}$ via a prior-informed Fisher matrix approach. Combined with CMB, SnIa, and BAO data to break parameter degeneracies, we show that this sample of $\sim$ 40 multi-messenger events is sufficient to deliver unprecedented constraints on the MG phenomenology motivated by DESI, providing a powerful complementary test of gravity in the late Universe.

Author

Andrea Cozzumbo (Gran Sasso Science Institute)

Presentation materials