Choose timezone
Your profile timezone:
Other Seminars
OTHER SEMINARS - GENEVA RESEARCH COLLABORATION SEMINAR<BR>Modeling Policy Choices in Climate Change
by
→
Europe/Zurich
40-SS-D01 (CERN)
40-SS-D01
CERN
Description
This work investigates how climate policy divergences between major countries can be examined with the help of a dynamic continuous time simulation model, but with parameters that can be potentially estimated
empirically. The construct upon which the model is based, the SPARE simulation system which is based in part on software constructed at the
Graduate Institute, on part on the CERN based PAW software package. It allows the user:
1) to fit model output to historical data series with procedures based upon the CERN developed MINUIT minimization package and
2) to apply a sequential decision making analysis similar to game theory in order to determine why an international solution to the climate change problem is preferred by a particular country.
The system also helps in determining possible cooperative solutions to divergent national policies. A simulation model prototype is constructed with entities that have the characteristics of the US, the EU and a Rest of the World category. Some preliminary analysis will be presented as well as suggestions for further studies along the same lines.