23–25 Sept 2020
Europe/Warsaw timezone

Uncertainties and epidemics spread

25 Sept 2020, 12:00
30m

Speaker

Bartlomiej Dybiec (Institute of Theoretical Physics, Jagiellonian University)

Description

Epidemic is a complicated process which spreads onto a complex not fully known topology. It affects not only properties of the population itself but also the network on which it spreads. The effective control measure should stop the epidemic at the lowest possible costs, therefore the problem of disease eradication cannot be separated from the economic layer, which includes, among others, costs of treatment and contact tracking. The lack of knowledge about full epidemiological status of individuals, delay in detection and presence of long-range links are the most important factors determining the overall costs. We demonstrate that despite uncertainties it is still possible to design the most effective treatment strategy. Furthermore, we identify key elements responsible for epidemics severity.

Primary author

Bartlomiej Dybiec (Institute of Theoretical Physics, Jagiellonian University)

Presentation materials

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