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22–26 Aug 2022
Rio de Janeiro
America/Sao_Paulo timezone

Surprise and discordances

Not scheduled
20m
Rio de Janeiro

Rio de Janeiro

Vice-Governador Rúbens Berardo street, 100 - Gávea Rio de Janeiro - 22451-070

Speaker

Pedro Riba Mello

Description

In this talk I'll explore how we can use Shannon entropy and the Surprise to
quantify discordances between datasets. The Surprise is a tool based on the
Kullback-Leibler divergence and offers a way to quantify discordance between
datasets in multiple dimensions in parameter space. I’ll analyze Supernovae, time
delay gravitational lensing, BAO and CMB data for LambdaCDM model and
variations with one more parameter. We’ll compare both measures of discordance
with the usual measure of distances between marginalized posterior distributions
and see how they relate to each other in the context of the Hubble tension. Also,
we’ll talk about how the Surprise behaves when we analyze distributions with weak
non-gaussianities, compared with an analytical solution for the Surprise for gaussian
distributions.

Primary author

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