24–26 Nov 2021
Ghent
Europe/Brussels timezone

Muography of the active Sakurajima volcano: recent results and future perspectives of hazard assessment

24 Nov 2021, 09:45
30m
Het Pand, Zaal August Vermeylen (Ghent)

Het Pand, Zaal August Vermeylen

Ghent

Het Pand Onderbergen 1, B-9000 Gent Belgium
Plenary talk Collaboration reports Collaboration reports

Speaker

László Oláh (Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan)

Description

Sakurajima volcano is one of the world's most active volcanoes with over 3,000 of explosive eruptions during the last five years. A muography observatory is under construction in international collaboration since 2017 at a distance of approx. 2,800 m in south-west direction from the active craters, called Minamidake and Showa [1,2]. Currently, the Sakurajima Muography Observatory (SMO) is operating with 11 MWPC-based Muography Observation System (MMOS) that is covering a sensitive surface area of 8.25 square meters. We will briefly present the design of the MMOS system, the data collection and analysis procedures, and mainly focus on the volcanological observations:
- tephra deposition, and erosion of surface region due heavy rains and post-eruptive lahars were observed [3],
- magmatic plug formation was observed beneath the active craters after the deactivation of Showa in 2018 [4] and dormant period of Minamidake in 2020 [5],
- machine-learning-based processing of daily muographic images achieved a fair sensitivity of above 0.75 in eruption forecasting [6].
Future prospects of SMO and its application for hazard assessment will also be discussed.

[1] L. Oláh et al.: High-definition and low-noise muography of the Sakurajima volcano with gaseous tracking detectors, Sci. Rep., https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-21423-9
[2] L. Oláh et al.: Investigation of the limits of high-definition muography for observation of Sakurajima volcano, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 377:20180135. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2018.0135
[3] L. Oláh et al.: Muographic Monitoring of Hydrogeomorphic Changes Induced by Post-Eruptive Lahars and Erosion of Sakurajima Volcano, Scientific Reports, www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-96947-8 (available from 6th of September 2021)
[4] L. Oláh et al.: Plug Formation Imaged Beneath the Active Craters of Sakurajima Volcano With Muography, Geophysical Research Letters, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084784
[5] L. Oláh & H.K.M. Tanaka: Muography of Magma Intrusion Beneath the Active Craters of Sakurajima Volcano, Geophysical Monograph Series (accepted)
[6] L. Oláh & H.K.M. Tanaka: Machine Learning with Muographic Images as Input: an Application to Volcano Eruption Forecasting, Geophysical Monograph Series (accepted)

Primary authors

Dezső Varga (Wigner Research Centre for Physics, Budapest, Hungary) Gergő Hamar (Wigner Research Centre for Physics, Budapest, Hungary) Hiroyuki Tanaka (Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan) László Oláh (Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan) Gábor Nyitrai (Wigner Research Centre for Physics, Budapest, Hungary) Takao Ohminato (Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan)

Presentation materials