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A new statistical model for estimating PDF uncertainties

29 Mar 2023, 10:00
20m
Auditorium (MSU Kellogg Center)

Auditorium

MSU Kellogg Center

Parallel talk WG1: Structure Functions and Parton Densities WG 1

Speaker

Kirtimaan Ajaykant Mohan

Description

When performing fits to data using the popular $\chi^2$ approach, uncertainty to fit parameters is determined by contours of $\Delta\chi^2=T^2$, where the tolerance $T =1 $ corresponds to the $68\%$ confidence level. PDF fits have to deal with the problem of having data sets, particularly from different experiments, that are in tension with each other. The traditional approach used by PDF fitting groups to accommodate any tension between data sets is to artificially increase the value of $T$. Here, we identify a new method of estimating the uncertainty when there is tension in the data. Specifically, we use a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) as a basis of our likelihood function. We demonstrate the properties and advantages of the GMM and compare it to the ad-hoc method of increasing the tolerance of $\Delta \chi^2$ in a toy model using pseudo-data.

Submitted on behalf of a Collaboration? No

Primary author

Co-authors

C.-P. Yuan (Michigan State University) Mengshi Yan Dr Tie-Jiun Hou Zhao Li (Institute of High Energy Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Presentation materials