Sep 3 – 9, 2023
Hilton of the Americas, 1600 Lamar, Houston, Texas, 77010, USA
US/Central timezone

The effects of hydrodynamic causality conditions on Bayesian analysis

Sep 5, 2023, 5:30 PM
2h 10m
Grand Ballroom, 4th floor ( Hilton of the Americas)

Grand Ballroom, 4th floor

Hilton of the Americas

Poster Collective Dynamics Poster Session

Speaker

Thiago Siqueira Domingues (University of São Paulo)

Description

Despite the success of hydrodynamic models in describing heavy-ion collisions, there have long been questions about its regime of validity. Recently-derived conditions on the causality of the hydrodynamic equations [1] can give a concrete answer --- if evolution is acausal, it is not a faithful representation of the underlying QCD theory. It is now known that current simulation models reach acausal regimes, at least sometimes.

We study the phenomenological effects of this knowledge in the context of a comprehensive, multi-system model-to-data comparison that was originally performed by the JETSCAPE Collaboration [2]. Different ways are explored to include information about causality violation (and therefore the validity of the model) into the analysis, and its effects on the extracted physical properties. Specifically, when performing Bayesian inference we can include the information in the prior probability (quantifying our trust in the model based on the degree or frequency of causality violation), or in the model uncertainty (estimating an increased uncertainty when there is violation of causality). The resulting changes in the posterior give an indication of the uncertainty that is contributed by model (in)validity, and the importance of addressing these fundamental issues in our treatment of heavy-ion collisions.

As an additional study, we identify various causes of acausality in hydrodynamic simulations, and therefore the best targets for designing more realistic models.

References:
[1] Bemfica, Disconzi, Hoang, Noronha, Radosz, Phys.Rev.Lett. 126 (2021) 22, 222301
[2] JETSCAPE Collaboration, Phys.Rev.C 103 (2021) 5, 054904; Phys.Rev.Lett. 126 (2021) 24, 242301

Category Theory

Authors

Prof. Matthew William Luzum (University of São Paulo) Thiago Siqueira Domingues (University of São Paulo) Prof. Tiago Jose Nunes da Silva (Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina) Renata Krupczak (Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina - UFSC) Prof. Jorge Noronha (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) Jean-Francois Paquet (Duke University) Prof. Jacquelyn Noronha-Hostler (University of Illinois Urbana Champaign)

Presentation materials