25–29 May 2026
Chulalongkorn University
Asia/Bangkok timezone

Simulation-based Inference for Precision Neutrino Physics through Neural Monte Carlo Tuning

28 May 2026, 17:09
18m
MHMK 301

MHMK 301

Oral Presentation Track 5 - Event generation and simulation Track 5 - Event generation and simulation

Speaker

Dr Arsenii Gavrikov

Description

The Jiangmen Underground Neutrino Observatory (JUNO) is a next-generation neutrino experiment located in China. To achieve its main objectives, the experiment demands highly accurate Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. These simulations must describe the complex response of the 20-kton liquid scintillator target within a 35.4 m diameter acrylic sphere, which is monitored by thousands of photomultiplier tubes. Tuning the effective parameters of these simulations to match experimental data is crucial to characterize the complex detector response and understanding detector related systematics, but traditional iterative methods are computationally prohibitive for modern, large-scale experiments like JUNO.

This contribution presents a novel solution using simulation-based inference (specifically, neural likelihood estimation) to perform precise and accurate MC tuning [1]. We achieve this by creating fast surrogate models that efficiently approximate otherwise intractable likelihoods, incorporating detector response. We developed two complementary neural likelihood estimators: (i) a transformer encoder-based density estimator for binned analysis and (ii) a normalizing flows-based density estimator suitable for both binned and unbinned analyses. Using the JUNO detector as a case study, we train these models on sets of simulated energy spectra from five distinct calibration sources, with each set generated for a specific configuration of detector response parameters. The models learn the complex, non-linear relationship between three key energy response parameters — the Birks' coefficient, the Cherenkov light yield factor, and the absolute light yield — to accurately approximate the conditional probability density function of the energy spectra for any combination of the parameters.

Parameter inference is performed by integrating these learned likelihoods with a Bayesian nested sampling algorithm. Our results show that this approach successfully recovers the true parameter values with near-zero systematic bias and uncertainties limited purely by the statistics of the input data. The applicability of this method using real calibration data will be demonstrated. The proposed framework establishes a promising and generalizable template for parameter inference in modern physics experiments where a comprehensive detector response is computationally expensive to evaluate.

[1] A. Gavrikov et al. "Simulation-based inference for Precision Neutrino Physics through Neural Monte Carlo tuning", arXiv:2507.23297.

Author

Co-authors

Dr Andrea Serafini (University of Padova & INFN) Dmitry Dolzhikov (Joint Institute for Nuclear Research)

Presentation materials