29 November 2021 to 3 December 2021
Virtual and IBS Science Culture Center, Daejeon, South Korea
Asia/Seoul timezone

Treatment of systematic uncertainties with Bayesian networks: Dark Matter direct detection as a case study

contribution ID 604
Not scheduled
20m
Broccoli (Gather.Town)

Broccoli

Gather.Town

Poster Track 2: Data Analysis - Algorithms and Tools Posters: Broccoli

Speaker

Stefano Piacentini (Università La Sapienza)

Description

In this contribution we will show an innovative approach based on Bayesian networks and linear algebra providing a solid and complete solution to the problem of the detector response and the related systematic effects. As a case study, we will consider the Dark Matter (DM) direct detection searches. In fact, in the past decades, a huge experimental effort has been developed to detect DM. However the failure of observing incontrovertible evidences of a DM signal stimulated, in direct detection experiments, the effort of examining alternative signals to nuclear recoil, including dark matter scattering on electrons or secondary signals, and motivated the interest in sub-GeV/$c^2$ DM.

In this context, it is crucial to develop a reliable analysis framework, which is able to take into account all the relevant systematic effects in a clean and accessible way. Since in fact the relations connecting the calibration parameters of the experiment to the final observed data spectrum are characterized by substantial complexity and non linearity, usual approaches to direct detection data analysis involve multi-templates techniques. These approaches, even if simple to use and implement, rely often on pre-defined morphing algorithms and ad-hoc prescriptions and assumptions to take into account all the correlations between the different parameters. By means of the Bayesian network technique however it is possible to represent the full detector response to any background/signal event keeping the dependence on the detector parameters explicit. We will show that the advantage of this kind of approach is twofold: from the statistical point of view it is a solid and rigorous way to perform the analysis as all the assumptions must be explicitly added to the network; from the computational point of view, we demonstrated that it is possible to represent the response of the detector by a set of matrices, allowing to use a GPU accelerated analysis code to improve the performance of the fit. As a consequence, we implemented the linear algebra needed for the analysis using the NVIDIA CUDA libraries, and we used the Metropolis-Hasting Markov Chain Monte Carlo needed for the fit as implemented in the BAT C++ libraries. The resulting software allowed us to demonstrate the benefits of this innovative approach in the achievement of physics results.

Significance

This contribution is about an innovative approach based on Bayesian networks and linear algebra providing a solid and complete solution to the problem of the detector response and the related systematic effects. This is the natural continuation of previous works we published in this context, which implemented bayesian analysis without accounting in an exhaustive way for the systematic uncertainties.

References

Model comparison in the Bayesian approach: DAMA residuals signal vs background analysis:

- A. Messina, M. Nardecchia, S. Piacentini, “Annual modulations from secular variations: not relaxing DAMA?”, JCAP 04 (2020) 037

Sensitivity studies in the bayesian approach: Migdal effect in LAr experiments:

  • G. Grilli di Cortona, A. Messina, S. Piacentini, “Migdal effect and photon Bremsstrahlung: improving the sensitivity to light dark matter of liquid argon experiments”, JHEP 11 (2020) 034

  • Conference talk: G. Grilli di Cortona, “Improving the sensitivity to light dark matter with the Migdal effect ”, TAUP 2021

  • Conference talk: S. Piacentini, “Migdal effect: improving the sensitivity to light dark matter of liquid argon experiments”, 16th Patras Workshop 2021

  • Conference talk: A. Messina, “Improving the sensitivity to light dark matter with the Migdal effect”, 16th Marcel Grossmann Meeting - MG16 (2021)

Speaker time zone Compatible with Europe

Primary authors

Andrea Messina (Sapienza Universita e INFN, Roma I (IT)) Stefano Piacentini (Università La Sapienza) Giovanni Grilli di Cortona (INFN Laboratori Nazionali di Frascati)

Presentation materials